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Optimal prediction of catastrophes in autoregressive moving-average processes

Abstract. This paper presents an optimal predictor of level crossings, catastrophes, for autoregressive moving-average processes, and investigates the performance of the predictor. The optimal catastrophe predictor is the predictor that gives a minimal number of false alarms for a fixed detection probability. As a tool for evaluating, comparing and constructing the predictors a method using operat

Saw-tooth pattern of North Atlantic current speed during Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles revealed by the magnetic grain size of Reykjanes Ridge sediments at 59 degrees N

Detailed mineral (rock) magnetic measurements, including high-resolution magnetic hysteresis loops, were carried out on three sediment cores recovered from the Reykjanes Ridge in the North Atlantic. Supported by physical grain-size analyses, titanomagnetite grain-size variations form a proxy of the speed of near-bottom currents and reveal a cyclic ""saw-tooth'' pattern between Dansgaard-Oeschger c

Universality of many-body states in rotating Bose and Fermi systems

We propose a universal transformation from a many-boson state to a corresponding many-fermion state in the lowest-Landau-level approximation of rotating many-body systems, inspired by the Laughlin wave function and by the Jain composite-fermion construction. We employ the exact-diagonalization technique for finding the many-body states. The overlap between the transformed boson ground state and th

Synthesis, characterization and reactivity of tetranuclear ruthenium hydrido clusters containing chiral phosphine ligands

The chiral clusters [H4Ru4(CO)(12-n)(L)(n)] (n = 1, 2; L = NMDPP), 1,1-[H4Ru4(CO)(10)(L - L)] (L - L = DUPHOS, DIPAMP), 1,2-[H4Ru4(CO)(10)(DIOP)] and [{H4Ru4(CO)(10)(DIOP)}(2)] have been synthesized by derivatizing the parent carbonyl cluster [H4Ru4(CO)(12)] with the appropriate mono- or didentate chiral phosphine ligand. The phosphine-substituted clusters were found to be able to catalyze the ( a

Variations in plasma phytoestrogen concentrations in European adults

Dietary phytoestrogens may play a role in chronic disease occurrence. The aim of our study was to assess the variability of plasma concentrations in European populations. We included 15 geographical regions in 9 European countries (Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain, Sweden, The Netherlands, and UK) and a 16th region, Oxford, UK, where participants were recruited from among vegans and

Vasoactive intestinal peptide rescues cultured rat myenteric neurons from lipopolysaccharide induced cell death

The role of the enteric nervous system in intestinal inflammation is not fully understood and the plethora of cellular activities concurrently ongoing in vivo renders intelligible studies difficult. In order to explore possible effects of bacterial lipopolysaccharide (LPS) on enteric neurons we utilised cultured myenteric neurons from rat small intestine. Exposure to LPS caused markedly reduced ne

Evolution of DNA ploidy during squamous cell carcinogenesis in the esophagus

Image and flow cytometry was used to study the nuclear DNA content (ploidy) during the squamous cell carcinogenesis in the esophagus. The present retrospective study comprised 26 surgical specimens of squamous cell carcinomas (SCC) in patients who underwent surgery alone at the Department of Surgery in CHUV Hospital in Lausanne, between January 1992 and December 1999. We analyzed 53 healthy tissue

Cytogenetic evolution patterns in CML post-SCT.

The cytogenetic evolution patterns in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) after allogeneic ( allo) stem cell transplantation (SCT) are different from the ones observed in non-transplanted patients, a phenomenon suggested to be caused by the conditioning regime. We reviewed 131 CMLs displaying karyotypic evolution after SCT (122 allo, nine autologous (auto)), treated at Lund University Hospital or repor

The optical sensitivity of compound eyes: theory and experiment compared.

The Land sensitivity equation is a well-known tool for comparing optical performance between eyes. Despite this, the equation has never been experimentally tested. Here, we present, to our knowledge, the first experimental validation of the equation. We have investigated different insect species active at different intensities, and possessing different types of compound eyes, to compare ratios of

A role for cyclin A1 in mediating the autocrine expression of vascular endothelial growth factor in prostate cancer.

Elevated levels of cyclin A1 expression have been implicated in acute myeloid leukemia and in male germ cell tumors. However, a role of cyclin A1 in tumorigenesis of prostate cancer has not been reported. In the present study, expression of cyclin A1 in patients with prostate cancer and a role of cyclin A1 in mediating expression of vascular endothelial growth factor ( VEGF) were investigated. Cyc

Biglycan and decorin induce morphological and cytoskeletal changes involving signalling by the small GTPases RhoA and Rac1 resulting in lung fibroblast migration

Biglyean and decorin are small chondroitin/dermatan sulphate proteoglycans in the extracellular matrix of connective tissue that belong to the family of structurally related proteoglycans called small leucine-rich repeat proteins. We show for the first time that biglycan and decorin induce morphological and cytoskeletal changes in fibroblasts, resulting in an increase in migration. Biglycan change

Reviewing the IYE and WSSD processes and impacts on the tourism sustainability agenda.

Two major events marked 2002 as a milestone year for the sustainable development agenda and in particular for the tourism sector. The declaration by the United Nations of 2002 as ‘International Year of Ecotourism’ (IYE), culminated in the organisation of the World Ecotourism Summit (WES) in May 2002. This was followed in August 2002 by the World Summit for Sustainable Development (WSSD), a global

Measurements of Subcutaneous Tissue PO(2) Reflect Oxygen Metabolism of the Small Intestinal Mucosa during Hemorrhage and Resuscitation. An Experimental Study in Pigs.

Background: The first tissues to be deprived of perfusion and oxygenation in a hypovolemic situation and the last ones to be reperfused are the subcutaneous tissue and the gastrointestinal mucosa. We hypothesized that measurements of subcutaneous tissue gases and pH might reflect simultaneous changes in oxygenation of the intestinal mucosa. The aim of this study was to evaluate tissue gases and pH