Trends in soil frost formation in a warming maritime climate and the impacts on urban flood risk
The most severe urban flooding in cold maritime climates is due to the co-action of long-duration rainfall, snowmelt, and soil frost. Increasing winter air temperature due to climate change is projected to change the magnitude and frequency of rain-on-snow (RoS) events and increase the number of freeze–thaw cycles and midwinter snowmelt. While daily rainfall records are readily available, less is