Using Conjunctural Indices in Prediction Models for Gas Sales---A Case Study
This thesis evaluates whether it is possible to use conjunctural indices from Statistics Sweden (Statistiska Centralbyrån) in order to improve the sales predictions at a Swedish gas company. For this purpose sales data for three of the main gases are gathered from the year 1995 and forth. In the first step, this data is used to create ARX and State Space models. Sales predictions are made from the
