Identifiability issues of age–period and age–period–cohort models of the Lee–Carter type
The predominant way of modelling mortality rates is the Lee–Carter model and its many extensions. The Lee–Carter model and its many extensions use a latent process to forecast. These models are estimated using a two-step procedure that causes an inconsistent view on the latent variable. This paper considers identifiability issues of these models from a perspective that acknowledges the latent vari