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Lund kickoff-2 Wayne G. Landis Institute of Environmental Toxicology, Western Washington University Bellingham, Washington Introduction to ecological risk assessment, the use of Bayesian networks and the analysis of uncertainty How about a story? • I has been a twenty-‐one year journey to get to this point in the development of regional risk assessm
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/02/BN_lecture_kickoff_Landis.pdf - 2026-04-24
Small data and conflicting information Bayesian Networks Decision analysis Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Recipe of a decision • Agents – decision makers • Their values • Decision alternatives • An idea of what is a g
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/02/BN_lecture_part2_sahlin.pdf - 2026-04-24
Small data and conflicting information Using expert's knowledge in Bayesian analysis Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Theory Data EK Theory Data EK Theory Data EK T Data EK European Food Safety Agency (EFSA) Plant Healt
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/03/Sahlin_BayesatLund2017_toweb.pdf - 2026-04-24
A mini-conference in Bayesian analysis at Lund University Room MA7, in the Maths annex building, Sölvegatan 20, Lund 20 April 2017 http://maths.lu.se/bayeslund2017 Sponsored by BECC and COMPUTE http://www.becc.lu.se/ http://cbbp.thep.lu.se/compute/ http://maths.lu.se/bayeslund2017 http://www.becc.lu.se/ http://cbbp.thep.lu.se/compute http://www.becc.lu.se/ http://cbbp.thep.lu.se/compute/ Program,
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/03/programus.pdf - 2026-04-24
Small data and conflicting information The importance of considering extreme and rare events in environmental management Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Now Train departs Time Now Train departs Time I leave the office
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/05/Sahlin_docent_final.pdf - 2026-04-24
PowerPoint-presentation KORTKURS FRAMTIDSVECKAN 2019 SAHLIN OCH KNAGGÅRD Och en osäker framtid är vår Hur troligt är det att det regnar på fredag? 1. Hur stor är chansen att det händer? ____ % 2. Föreställ dig att du har ”testat det regnar” i flera försök – hur många gånger har du testat för att komma upp till det du nyss svarade? Regn på fredag (%) 0 25 50 75 100 KORTKURS FRAMTIDSVECKAN 2019 SAHL
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2019/09/Och-en-os%C3%A4ker-framtid-%C3%A4r-v%C3%A5r-Sahlin-Knagg%C3%A5rd.pdf - 2026-04-24
Föreläsningar om risk – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Föreläsningar om risk The Swedish Society for Risk Sciences (Riskkollegiet) arrange seminars and workshops (usually in Swedish) on different places in Sweden. The most recent one was in Uppsala on the 4th of December. Föreläsningarna filmades och ligger nu på vår yout
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/forelasningar-om-risk/ - 2026-04-24
Guess your time in Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2019 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Guess your time in Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2019 Länk till denna sida på svenska We are curious to know how good people are in being uncertain. To test this, we asked participants of the running race Lundaloppet (Lund May 4th
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/lundaloppet-predictive-challenge-2019-eng/ - 2026-04-24
Nominera till Riskkollegiets juniora pris – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Nominera till Riskkollegiets juniora pris Alla med intresse för risk- och säkerhetsfrågor inbjuds nu att nominera kandidater till 2020 års pris ”The Swedish Risk Academy Award to a Young Researcher” Riskkollegiet är en ideell förening vars syfte är
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/nominera-till-riskkollegiets-juniora-pris/ - 2026-04-24
DSC_0042 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis DSC_0042 October 4, 2019 host This entry was posted in Write a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Comment Name * Email * Website Menu Close about this blog Accessibility statement Follow us
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/osakerhetsexperiment-pa-forskarfredag/dsc_0042/ - 2026-04-24
Which theory gets the highest probability to be the true one? – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Which theory gets the highest probability to be the true one? September 30, 2019 host This entry was posted in Write a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Comment Name * Email * Website
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/osakerhetsexperiment-pa-forskarfredag/spring/ - 2026-04-24
Page 6 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Expanded View August 30, 2019 | host RISKUT2019 On August 22nd I (Ullrika) arranged together with Linda Kvarnlöf and Per Strömsjö a one day meeting about teaching risk. We named this meeting … 0 Comments August 13, 2019 | host Graduate course: Interdisciplinary in Environmental Resea
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/page/6/ - 2026-04-24
Experts judgements – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Experts judgements October 13, 2018 host This entry was posted in Write a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Comment Name * Email * Website Menu Close about this blog Accessibility statement Follow us
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/qup/brett/ - 2026-04-24
Results from Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2014 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Results from Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2014 What does it mean to make predictions? Why is it advantageous, if not mandatory, to make predictions in terms of probability distributions? Is a prediction with a wide distribution automati
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/results-from-lundaloppet-predictive-challenge-2014/ - 2026-04-24
Riskförmiddag i Uppsala 4 december – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Riskförmiddag i Uppsala 4 december Riskkollegiet bjuder in till en förmiddag om risk den 4 december i Uppsala. Det är ett tillfälle att bekanta sig med olika sätt att se på risk. Riskförmiddag_Uppsala_Program November 28, 2019 host This entry was posted in
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/riskformiddag-i-uppsala-4-december/ - 2026-04-24
The science of decision making in science – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis The science of decision making in science Jan 13th 2015 we had workshop on the science of decision making in research The purpose of the workshop was to share and discuss scientific methods to integrate decision problems into research. An ambition i
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/the-science-of-decision-making-in-science/ - 2026-04-24
The Uncertainty show – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis The Uncertainty show A version of our show about uncertainty is available online. The show takes about 30 minutes and targets kids from 8 and upwards. It is currently in Swedish. How does it feel to be uncertain? November 8, 2019 host This entry was posted in Uncategor
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/the-uncertainty-show/ - 2026-04-24
Two aspects on reliability – epistemic risk and safety – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Two aspects on reliability – epistemic risk and safety Last week was devoted to reliability in two aspects. Niklas Vareman successfully defended his thesis on Epistemic Risk, which in one of his explanations of it is the risk of “missin
https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/two-aspects-on-reliability-epistemic-risk-and-safety/ - 2026-04-24
Är asken hona, hane, eller både och? – Fråga en Biolog Hoppa till huvudinnehåll Välkommen Svar Möt våra experter Sök Sök Stäng Meny Meny Fråga en Biolog Allt du någonsin undrat om hur naturen fungerar Är asken hona, hane, eller både och? Ask, Fraxinus_excelsior , kan kombinera könen på olika sätt. Den kan vara antingen hona, hane, eller tvåkönad. Hittar man en ask med frukter, är det en hona eller
https://fragaenbiolog.blogg.lu.se/ar-asken-hona-hane-eller-bade-och/ - 2026-04-24
Är det en varg som varit här? – Fråga en Biolog Hoppa till huvudinnehåll Välkommen Svar Möt våra experter Sök Sök Stäng Meny Meny Fråga en Biolog Allt du någonsin undrat om hur naturen fungerar Är det en varg som varit här? Den grova strukturen på spillningen, liksom det övervägande inslaget av hår, gör att vi håller med i vår frågeställares bedömning att det kan vara en varg som varit på besök. S
https://fragaenbiolog.blogg.lu.se/ar-det-en-varg-som-varit-har/ - 2026-04-24
