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This paper examines the possibility to use McDonald’s as a leading indicator for economic growth and stability. A small number of alternative hypotheses are also explored. The theory that McDonald’s can be used as an economic indicator originates in Thomas L. Friedman’s “Golden Arches Theory of Conflict Prevention” which presents a relationship between McDonald’s and political stability. Common st
This paper investigates volatility and mean spillover effects from the US and the Chinese stock markets into individual ASEAN stock markets using a GARCH spillover model. I find strong statistical evidence for both the mean-spillover and the volatility-spillover effects from the US into the individual ASEAN markets. The Chinese volatility-spillover effects are less essential to the individual ASEA
The recent development and implementation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is generating application of complicated models over a wide range of sciences. For two correlated binary responses, bivariate binary logistic regression is a suitable way to identify the related covariates and at the same time, their interactions validity can be investigated in terms of logarithm of odds ratio. Pre
This thesis analyses microcredit as a means to overcome the problem of inefficiently working financial markets in Uganda. Empowerment of women and the benefits of targeting women with microcredit are similarly discussed. The conclusion of the study is that microcredit provides a way of giving poor people access to credit through accepting untraditional collateral and reaching out to remote rural a
This paper studies the importance of property rights when investigating the determinants of foreign direct investment. Property rights are difficult to measure and its relation to foreign direct investment has not been examined that much in previous researches. This paper examines the effect of some independent variables and property rights on foreign direct investment by using panel data for 127
In his 1989 seminal paper, Victor Nee developed the market transition theory (MTT), which argues that reforming socialist economies shift power from a redistributive government to direct producers. One of the most contentious predictions of the theory is that market expansion will induce a relative decline in the value of political capital. However, China’s transition to a socialist-market economy
Many studies show that socioeconomic and demographic variables have a strong link with human health which in turn affects life expectancy and age. This paper presents the results of a principal component regression analysis, in order to describe a good regression model for mean age of the population of all the countries in the world. The data are from “Philips Geographical Digest” and “World Resou
This paper examines the influence of investors’ beliefs about a firm’s financial health on the size of announcement effects of seasoned equity offerings. Altman’s Z-score for non-manufacturing firms is used as a quantitative measure for company health, and abnormal returns are calculated using event study methodology. The paper departs from a hypothesis that investors of healthy firms will react l
Uppsatsen är ett resultat av en explorativ studie av Business Intellience i några svenska företag. En grundläggande referensram presenteras för målgruppen för uppsatsen för attskapa en förståelse från grunden till studiens frågeställningar. Vad är Business Intelligence egentligen och vad betyder begreppet för dig? En analys av begreppet görs och ställs mot olika perspektiv i ett försök att definie
In this thesis the change in effect of international diversification during the implementation of EMU is investigated, by taking a Swedish perspective. This is done by studying correlation and Sharpe ratio development. The countries included in this study comprise of both EMU countries and a disperse group of other world markets. It can be concluded that a Swedish investor has had a positive diver
This essay explores whether there is a connection between geographical location and degree of socioeconomic inequity in children’s health status in Zambia. It looks at, to what extent a difference can be seen in the socioeconomic health gap between rural and urban areas and between primarily rural administrative provinces and primarily urban ones. The questions examined here are: 1) Does geographi
In 1996, Robert A. Haugen and Nardin L. Baker published a study where they had made a multi-factor model based on micro-variables on the American stock market between 1979 and 1993. In testing the model on the examined period they made an average annual return of 30,9 percent. They also tested the model on several other markets around the world with similar results. This study is a somewhat simple
The aim of the paper is to time the stock market by using probit modelling. We will accomplish this task by testing the significance of different financial variables. The yield spread, which has already been proved to be effective for several established markets, will play a central role in our analysis. Primarily we will extend the analysis of Liu, Resnick and Shoesmith (2004) to verify whether t
En analys av polismyndighetens prognosmodell LUPP – en hypotesprövning för Skåne län.
Vi kommer främst att behandla följande frågeställningar. Redogöra begreppet prisdiskriminering med konkreta exempel. Vilka förutsättningar krävs för att prisdiskriminering skall vara möjligt och varför det tillämpas. Ge en överblick av grundläggande begrepp inom internationell handel, marknadsstrategi och mikroekonomi. Prisdiskrimineringens konsekvenser för svenska konsumenter.
The purpose of this essay is to investigate whether data from the Buisiness Tendancy Survey (BTS) is useful for forecasting the Swedish unemployment rate. The BTS is made by the National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) who makes a large business survey each quarter based on questions to approximately 7000 thousand Swedish firms. The unemployment rate is also a survey based measure made by St
Sammanfattning För närvarande pågår en utredning angående apoteksmonopolets vara eller icke vara här i Sverige. Trenden inom EU har på sistone gått mot att avreglera fler och fler marknader, detta tillsammans med regeringens åsikt om att ökad konkurrens är bra för samhället har föranlett denna granskning av marknaden i fråga. Det är därför av intresse att närmare titta på konsekvenserna av den utr
Populärvetenskaplig sammanfattning: Bekämpningsmedel; bra för maten, dåligt för vattnet? Att ha tillgång till rent vatten är livsviktigt för människan. Trots detta saknar nästan hälften av jordens invånare tillgång till vatten av hög kvalitet. Eftersom mycket av det vatten vi använder tas upp ur marken, från grundvattnet, så är det viktigt att inte förorena grundvattnet med ämnen som kan vara skadThis bachelor thesis, written at the Department of Earth and Ecosystem Sciences at Lund University in 2010, discusses the movement of pesticides in the ground. The aim of the study is to examine the potential impact that the ground properties have on the movement of pesticides to and with groundwater. The ground properties that will be considered are the hydraulic conductivity and the depth of the
Purpose: The aim was to explore what socio-economic benefits could be made out of regional networks in an economic, environmental and social perspective. The project also aimed to investigate where there is potential for regional networks and utilization of waste heat, and what barriers exist. In order to investigate the gains that can be achieved two different models was created and then compared
The theory of the Investment Development Path (IDP) by John H. Dunning suggests that as a country develops, its composition of inward and outward foreign direct investment change both regarding to quantity and type of investment. The theory consists of 5 stages a country passes as its OLI-advantages develop. In this paper we have applied the theory of the IDP on the case of Brazil in order to eval
